Showing posts with label euro. Show all posts
Showing posts with label euro. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

人民币将是未来少数具备超越其他全球货币能力的货币之一

自从货币基金组织决定即美元、欧元、英镑和日元之后,自2016年起将人民币纳入特别提款权(SDR)篮子,人民币的国际化迈出了坚实的一步,这将使得未来对人民币的需求大大提升,极大地增强人民币的地位。

美国国内利率正常化的大背景下美元却仍可能走强,而人民币很可能保持稳定,而非对美元贬值。渣打银行驻香港高级利率策略师刘洁表示,人民币将会是仍能跑赢美元的少数货币之一。

中国国际金融有限公司首席经济学家梁红称,人民币在今年至少会与美元一样表现强劲,并很有可能超过美元。

就一些分析机构认为人民币在2016年会持续下行,李克强总理上周五评论道中国能够维持人民币汇率基本稳定在一个合理和平衡的水平,不存在持续贬值的基础。中国副主席李源潮在刚刚举办的瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛年会上补充道:“中国政府没有意愿也没有政策来使货币贬值,因为货币市场的波动是市场力量的结果”。


王雷(Rani Jarkas)在亚洲有多年的金融经验。他表示,“人民币的下行压力将会缓解。我相信人民币仍是在未来能超越美元的少数货币之一。”

RMB will be one of the few currencies that can still outperform global currencies in the future

Since IMF decided to include the yuan in the basket of Special Drawing Rights (SDR) from 2016, joining the dollar, the euro, the pound and the yen, the internationalization process of renminbi has made a solid step forward and it will prompt China’s currency to strengthen dramatically as demand for the renminbi rises in the future.
The renminbi will likely be "stable" rather than depreciate against the greenback, while the US dollar is due to become stronger against the backdrop of rates normalization in the US. RMB might prove to be one of the few currencies that can still beat the US dollar, said Becky Liu, Senior Rates Strategist at Standard Chartered Bank (HK) Ltd.
Liang Hong, Chief Economist at China International Capital Corporation, added that "RMB will be at least as strong as the US dollar this year, if not stronger."
While some forecast that RMB will retain a depreciating bias in 2016, Premier Li Keqiang commented last Friday that China can maintain yuan exchange rate “basically stable at a reasonable and balanced standard,” adding there’s “no basis for a continued depreciation.” The Chinese government has no intention and no policy to devalue its currency, as the fluctuations in the currency market are a result of market forces, said Li Yuanchao, China’s Vice president, on the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland.

Rani Jarkas, Chairman of Cedrus Investments, an investment pioneer with years of financial experience in Asia, said, “Downward pressure on RMB is expected to ease. I expect RMB will remain one of the few currencies that can outperform the US dollar in the years to come.”